BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Argentina's MERVAL index closed up 0.54% to 2.304 million points.The "2024 Congdu International Forum" was held in Madrid, Spain, and the "2024 Congdu International Forum" co-sponsored by the Chinese People's Association for Friendship with Foreign Countries, the Australian-China Friendship Exchange Association, the Guangdong Provincial People's Government and the World Leaders Alliance was held in Madrid, Spain from 11th to 12th.
White House: Biden's approval of an aid program to Ukraine will provide more air defense systems, etc. On December 12, local time, John Kirby, strategic communication coordinator of the US White House National Security Council, said at the White House briefing that day that US President Biden approved a new Ukrainian security assistance program on the 12 th, which will provide Ukraine with more air defense systems, artillery, drones and armored vehicles. Kirby said that this is the 72nd such material deployment assistance announced by the United States, and the United States will continue to provide additional aid packages until the end of the current government.Venezuela: This week, 103 people arrested after the July elections were released.Vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand will be exerted in all directions. The Central Economic Work Conference requires that consumption be vigorously boosted, investment efficiency be improved and domestic demand be expanded in all directions. Experts said that it is particularly urgent to expand domestic demand when the uncertainty of external demand increases. In 2025, macro-control should adhere to the general tone of striving for progress while maintaining stability, maintain strategic strength, strive to do our own thing well, and make overall plans to expand domestic demand, stabilize growth and promote transformation. (CSI)
U.S. policy outlook is uncertain. Lagarde lamented that the EU would "ask for it" for political uncertainty. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the monetary policy decision of policymakers on Thursday was shrouded in the turbulent political situation in Europe. Although Lagarde did not directly mention the collapse of the French and German governments in recent weeks, she pointed out that it is not conducive to the central bank's decision-making to keep the fiscal plan and election results in suspense. At present, policymakers are still paying attention to the impact of Donald Trump's return to power. "We hope that many things will become clear in the coming months," Lagarde told reporters. "If we have discussed anything in the past two days, it is the uncertainty we are facing, whether it is the political situation from some member States or the US policy."Fitch: The neutral outlook of global protein in 2025 reflects that global consumption will remain stable as consumer demand shifts to lower-priced chicken and pork.The three major US stock indexes collectively closed down by nearly 14%, while the three major US stock indexes collectively closed down, with the Dow down 0.53%, the Nasdaq down 0.66% and the S&P 500 index down 0.54%. Adobe, the developer of image processing software, fell nearly 14%, and the company's annual performance guidance was worse than expected. Gold and silver mining stocks generally fell, Cordillen Mining fell by nearly 7%, Hekla Mining, Anglogold and Pan American Silver fell by more than 5%, and harmony Gold fell by more than 4%. Bitcoin once again fell below the $100,000 mark, cryptocurrency concept stock Bit Digital fell more than 5%, and MicroStrategy fell nearly 5%.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14